花旗预计布伦特油价短线将升至每桶110-120美元

环球市场播报
Yesterday

  花旗在一份报告中称,把布伦特原油价格短线基线预测上调至每桶110-120美元,并预测中东冲突到4月中下旬将趋于缓和。

  Max Layton等分析师在报告中写道,未来4-6周石油供应受干扰规模可能达到1100万-1600万桶/日,低于此前认为经霍尔木兹海峡运输面临风险的约2000万桶/日的出口量。WTI油价三个月目标位为每桶104美元左右。

  花旗表示,市场可能持续上涨,直至出现促使美国结束军事行动的价格水平或市场事件,和/或国际能源署或经合组织国家采取更有力的库存释放措施;或全球军事大国采取行动强行重开霍尔木兹海峡。

  根据花旗的基线情境预测,布伦特原油到年底将跌至每桶70-80美元。

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