Amundi称市场目前预计伊朗战争将持续数月 而非数周

环球市场播报
Mar 19

  Amundi SA首席投资官Vincent Mortier表示,全球市场对伊朗冲突持续时间的预期已明显转向悲观,目前认为这场冲突可能会持续数月之久。

  Mortier周四表示,市场在过去24小时内已经发生转变,从“预计数周内解决”转为“预计数月内解决”。他指的是这场战争,他是在巴黎参加美国银行主办的一场会议期间作出上述表述的,并称在当前形势下进行投资“并不容易”。

  随着波斯湾地区袭击不断升级,并可能对主要能源设施造成长期损害,油价和天然气价格周四大幅上涨。欧洲天然气期货一度飙升35%,达到战前水平的两倍以上,布伦特原油价格一度飙升至每桶118美元以上。

  品浩全球经济顾问Richard Clarida在同一场活动上表示,“冲突持续时间越长,对美国经济的负面影响就越大。”他指出,“长期的能源冲击目前尚未被市场充分计入,但如果持续存在,确实会拖慢经济增长。”

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责任编辑:何云

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