Dollar Likely to Gain if Fed Removes Forecast for Rate Cut in 2026 -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Mar 18

1342 GMT - The dollar could gain if the Federal Reserve's 'dot plot' forecasts on Wednesday show an interest-rate cut in 2026 is no longer expected due to higher energy prices, ING's Francesco Pesole says in a note. The Fed's forecasts in December flagged one rate cut in 2026. "The dollar should benefit from a revision to no cuts in 2026," he says. "The risks are clearly of a hawkish revision." Still, the dollar's response will likely be short-lived as focus quickly returns to Middle East developments, Pesole says. U.S. money markets currently price in a rate reduction of 20.9 basis points this year, LSEG data show. The DXY dollar index rises 0.3% to 99.87. The Fed announces a decision at 1800 GMT. (jessica.fleetham@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 18, 2026 09:44 ET (13:44 GMT)

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The Fed's forecasts in December flagged one rate cut in 2026. \"The dollar should benefit from a revision to no cuts in 2026,\" he says. \"The risks are clearly of a hawkish revision.\" Still, the dollar's response will likely be short-lived as focus quickly returns to Middle East developments, Pesole says. U.S. money markets currently price in a rate reduction of 20.9 basis points this year, LSEG data show. The DXY dollar index rises 0.3% to 99.87. The Fed announces a decision at 1800 GMT. 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The Fed's forecasts in December flagged one rate cut in 2026. \"The dollar should benefit from a revision to no cuts in 2026,\" he says. \"The risks are clearly of a hawkish revision.\" Still, the dollar's response will likely be short-lived as focus quickly returns to Middle East developments, Pesole says. U.S. money markets currently price in a rate reduction of 20.9 basis points this year, LSEG data show. The DXY dollar index rises 0.3% to 99.87. The Fed announces a decision at 1800 GMT. (jessica.fleetham@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 18, 2026 09:44 ET (13:44 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FT_SY_ZT","symbol_name":"2年美债","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2620251147","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2620251147","pubTimestamp":1773841440,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"1342 GMT - The dollar could gain if the Federal Reserve's 'dot plot' forecasts on Wednesday show an interest-rate cut in 2026 is no longer expected due to higher energy prices, ING's Francesco Pesole says in a note. The Fed's forecasts in December flagged one rate cut in 2026. \"The dollar should benefit from a revision to no cuts in 2026,\" he says. \"The risks are clearly of a hawkish revision.\" Still, the dollar's response will likely be short-lived as focus quickly returns to Middle East developments, Pesole says. U.S. money markets currently price in a rate reduction of 20.9 basis points this year, LSEG data show. The DXY dollar index rises 0.3% to 99.87. The Fed announces a decision at 1800 GMT. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","BK4588":"碎股","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国"},"translate_title":"如果美联储取消2026年降息预测，美元可能会上涨——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US6M.BOND":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"ZTmain":0.6,"FAZ":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"TLTW":0.6,"SKRE":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"GOVT":0.6,"BND":1.5,"TNmain":0.6,"ZFmain":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"IEF":0.6,"ZBmain":0.6,"UBmain":0.6,"SHV":1.5,"SHY":1.5},"content_text":"1342 GMT - The dollar could gain if the Federal Reserve's 'dot plot' forecasts on Wednesday show an interest-rate cut in 2026 is no longer expected due to higher energy prices, ING's Francesco Pesole says in a note. The Fed's forecasts in December flagged one rate cut in 2026. \"The dollar should benefit from a revision to no cuts in 2026,\" he says. \"The risks are clearly of a hawkish revision.\" Still, the dollar's response will likely be short-lived as focus quickly returns to Middle East developments, Pesole says. U.S. money markets currently price in a rate reduction of 20.9 basis points this year, LSEG data show. The DXY dollar index rises 0.3% to 99.87. The Fed announces a decision at 1800 GMT. (jessica.fleetham@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 18, 2026 09:44 ET (13:44 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}