TradingKey - 黄金价格意外走弱，跌破4900美元关键关口，能源市场则因地缘风险迅速升温。盘中，布伦特原油再次突破100美元/桶。
消息面上，伊朗方面表示其石油与天然气基础设施遭到袭击，市场对中东供应中断的担忧迅速升温。作为全球能源运输的关键通道，霍尔木兹海峡的安全问题再次成为焦点，一旦局势进一步升级，可能对全球原油供给形成实质冲击。
与此同时，唐纳德·特朗普在当地时间3月18日通过社交媒体表态称，美国正考虑对伊朗现政权采取进一步打击措施，并强调应由依赖霍尔木兹海峡航运的国家承担相关安全责任，而非完全由美国主导。这一表态被市场解读为地缘风险可能进一步外溢。
当前市场正处于“风险再定价”阶段：一方面，油价因供应担忧快速上行；另一方面，黄金短线走弱或与美元及利率预期变化有关，但若冲突持续发酵，黄金作为避险资产仍可能重新获得支撑，市场波动或将进一步放大。
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