华侨银行集团研究部的Sim Moh Siong在一份报告中称，如果霍尔木兹海峡长期、近乎完全关闭，预计石油市场将面临每天约1，000万桶的石油短缺。该策略师称，尽管有来自释放战略储备或石油运输可能绕过霍尔木兹海峡取道其他中东国家的抵消作用，但该行仍作出了上述估计。他表示，海湾产油国越来越被迫暂停生产，而这些较小的供应中断可能会滚雪球式地演变成更大的供应损失。华侨银行将其对布伦特原油到年中的价格预测从此前低于每桶70美元的水平上调至每桶100美元。该行预计，到明年第一季度，布伦特原油价格将回落至每桶70美元。近月西得州中质油期货上涨3.9%，至每桶97.16美元；布伦特原油上涨3.5%，至每桶103.70美元。
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