金吾财讯 | 南山铝业国际(02610)震荡走强，截至发稿，涨4.28%，报64.5港元，成交额8711万港元。消息面上，招银国际表示，巴林铝业在周日公布由于霍尔木兹海峡的封锁对供应和运输的影响, 将把其年产162万吨的电解铝产能减产19%, 相当于约30.8万吨产量。巴林铝业将在减产期间为其产线进行维护，公告中未提及复产时间表。该机构估算巴林铝业这次的停产量相当于全球产量约0.4%，如果加上此前Qatalum在其69万吨的基础上减产40%（相当于约28万吨），已确定停产的产量（年化）已接近59万吨，相当于约0.8%全球产能。同时, 由于伊朗本身拥有62万吨的产能, 目前的生产状态高度不确定。短期内, 该机构不排除中东地区有进一步减产的可能（中东2025年占全球产量9%），相信铝价将获得进一步支持。
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