大行评级丨小摩:重申英伟达“增持”评级,多个增量收入来源为市场预期提供可观的上行空间

格隆汇
Mar 19

摩根大通发表研报指,英伟达于分析师会议上透露,截至2027年的Blackwell及Vera Rubin采购订单及需求超过1万亿美元,但有关数字仅是下限水平,因当中并不包括Groq LPU机架、独立Vera CPU、储存系统及Rubin Ultra,上述各项均代表不同程度的增量收入来源。英伟达目标通过股份回购及股息,将约50%的自由现金流用于资本回报,较2026财年约42%的水平有所提升,意味着2026及2027年合计超过2000亿美元。 此外,该行提及英伟达管理层有力地捍卫毛利的可持续性,将竞争优势重新定义为围绕工厂级别的代币经济学,而非芯片级别的定价,并驳斥更便宜芯片的论点是对其业务的根本误解;管理层指出,数据中心收入中约一半已由从CPU工作负载转向加速运算的结构性转变所驱动,此乃独立于人工智能训练及推理周期的结构性需求驱动因素,且仍有显著增长空间。 该行认为,一年前未考虑到的英伟达多个增量收入来源,为其当前的市场预期提供可观的上行空间,且公司竞争性不断扩大,该行重申对其“增持”评级,目标价为265美元。

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