日本央行:劳动力短缺预计将加剧 中长期通胀预期将上升

格隆汇
5 hours ago

3月19日,日本央行货币政策会议声明显示,委员会以8票赞成、1票反对的表决结果将利率保持在0.75%。日本经济虽然部分领域表现疲弱,但整体上正在温和复苏。出口和工业生产总体上保持平稳趋势。企业利润整体上维持在高位,尽管制造业受到了关税的下行影响。通胀预期已温和上升。

随着海外经济体回归增长轨道,且在政府经济措施和宽松金融环境等因素的支持下,收入与支出的良性循环逐渐加强,日本经济可能继续温和增长。然而,在中东局势紧张加剧的背景下,全球金融和资本市场波动加剧,原油价格显著上涨,未来的发展值得关注。随着经济持续改善,劳动力短缺预计将加剧,中长期通胀预期将上升。鉴于实际利率处于显著低位,如果1月展望报告中提出的经济活动和物价前景得以实现,随着经济活动和物价的改善,央行将继续提高政策利率。

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