ChainCatcher 消息，据 CoinDesk 报道，比特币当前的走势与 2025 年 11 月至 2026 年 1 月期间最终引发暴跌至 60,000 美元的价格结构高度相似。从技术面来看，比特币自 2 月初触底以来，在两条趋势线之间形成了一段窄幅震荡、略带上倾的通道，与此前从 100,000 美元下跌后的那段横盘走势如出一辙。
彼时，市场同样呈现出缓慢、震荡的向上爬行，最终假突破后价格从约 90,000 美元直线砸至近 60,000 美元。技术分析将此类形态称为“逆势反弹”，即在下跌趋势中出现的小幅回升。当前反弹缺乏爆发性动能，是多头耗尽的典型信号，市场可能只是在喘息，等待空头重新积蓄力量。
65,800 美元为关键支撑位，若比特币跌破当前通道下轨约 65,800 美元，将意味着空头重新掌控局面；若向上突破通道，则下跌趋势可能失速，多头有望强势反攻。目前比特币正处于关键抉择点，方向尚未明朗。
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