【券商聚焦】华泰证券:核电机制托底提前确立中国绿电电价拐点

金吾财讯
Mar 23

金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示,辽宁2026年3月发文,建立核电可持续发展价格结算机制。该机构认为核电试点的落地,意味着中央/地方政府从机制层面为2023年以来持续的“煤价下降,电价下降”画上了阶段性句号,也意味着以核电为代表的清洁能源过去3年盈利承压的趋势可能即将出现重大的政策拐点。同时,煤价下降本身也不可持续,霍尔木兹海峡的封锁让市场对化石能源价格易涨难跌逐步确立信心,这对于中国在过去3年受一次能源价格下跌拖累的非化石能源,都是重要的积极信号。该机构重申对电力板块的全面看多,包括水核风光生物质在内的绿电或充分受益。1)核电板块或将率先受益于政策落地,相关核电公司基本面有望迎来重大拐点;2)推荐风光运营商,光伏低价难以持续,绿色属性尚待体现,无论是碳价推升火电报价,还是可再生能源价值直接通过绿证或绿电直连显现,盈利弹性较大;3)继续推荐A股稀缺绿电直连标的。

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