分析:若油价稳定在 100 美元附近,比特币有望测试 7.4 万至 7.6 万美元阻力区间

链捕手
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ChainCatcher 消息,据市场消息,受美国暂停对伊朗能源基础设施打击五天的消息影响,地缘政治风险溢价下降,布伦特原油价格回落,比特币于昨日重新站上 70,000 美元关口。

市场分析表示,若霍尔木兹海峡通航正常化且油价稳定在 100 美元附近,比特币有望测试 74,000 至 76,000 美元阻力区间;若局势再度恶化,比特币可能回落至 65,000 美元区间。若持续缓和,机构逢低买入或推动比特币升至 80,000 美元。上周美联储维持利率不变,点阵图显示 14 位官员预计 2026 年零次或仅一次降息,宏观环境仍对风险资产构成限制。

截至 3 月 22 日当周,比特币 ETF 单日流出 7.08 亿美元,为两个月来最大,但以太坊 ETF 录得创纪录的 1.608 亿美元周度流入。比特币与黄金表现差距显著收窄,黄金上周遭遇 1983 年以来最大周跌幅,下跌逾 10%。

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