Lombard Odier建议投资者保持对新兴市场信用和黄金的超配，理由是中东紧张局势有可能逐步缓解。

　　“伊朗冲突进一步急剧升级——由于特朗普有避免美国选民面临更高燃油价格的政治动机，因此很难将其视为基本情景——可能会迫使投资者对包括新兴市场在内的各类风险资产进行重新思考，”常驻新加坡的策略师Homin Lee在接受采访时表示。

　　但投资者仍需注意，在中期选举前夕，美国选民可能出现反弹，带来新一轮重大“TACO”上涨行情的风险不可忽视。

　　“我们降低了对新兴市场股票的超配程度，以应对极端不利情形所带来的风险”。

　　对能源市场“长期中断”的担忧将首先引发全面抛售，之后投资者才会开始考虑那些可能受益于经济衰退和能源多元化投的资产，例如拉丁美洲的信用资产。

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