港股异动 | 航空股延续近期跌势 航空燃油涨价速度远超全球油价基准 航司成本端显著承压

智通财经
Mar 30

智通财经APP获悉,航空股延续近期跌势,截至发稿,东方航空(00670)跌5.95%,报3.48港元;南方航空(01055)跌4.43%,报3.88港元;中国国航(00753)跌3.98%,报4.58港元;国泰航空(00293)跌2.71%,报11.84港元。

消息面上,国际航空运输协会数据显示,14日至20日期间,亚太地区航空燃油平均价格为每桶204.95美元,较前一周上涨16.6%,较上月平均价格飙升129.8%。有报道称,航油价格的上涨速度和幅度远超全球油价基准布伦特原油。上周四,布伦特原油结算价为每桶108.65美元,自中东冲突发生以来上涨约50%。

小摩此前发布研报称,中国航空公司正进入逾十年来最强劲的供需格局,然而,伊朗与美国的战争已成为主导的短期风险,布兰特原油已急升约50%至每桶115美元,而中国航空公司完全未有对冲,燃油约占营运成本三分之一。该行基本情境预测2026至2027年油价为每桶80美元,将使三大内地航空公司在2026年录得亏损或接近盈亏平衡。该行表示,在油价前景明朗前,该行维持审慎看法。

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