How to play the silver price: looking beyond the volatility

Kitco

Apr 02

After 25 years in futures and commodities, while observing tens of thousands of traders navigating every kind of market, one pattern stands out above all others: your edge increases dramatically when ...

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Stop chasing it. Let it come to you. That discipline has never mattered more than it does right now in silver.For traders who missed the move, or who were shaken outin the correction, the question now is simple: Is the silver story over, or could this correction be setting up the next leg higher?","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"kitco.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SILV":"SilverCrest Metals Inc","SLVR":"Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SIL":"Silver Miners Etf","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓"},"translate_title":"如何玩转白银价格：超越波动性","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SIL":1.84,"SLVR":1.81,"SILV":1.79},"content_text":"After 25 years in futures and commodities, while observing tens of thousands of traders navigating every kind of market, one pattern stands out above all others: your edge increases dramatically when you can take a fast-moving market and slow it down. Stop chasing it. Let it come to you. That discipline has never mattered more than it does right now in silver.For traders who missed the move, or who were shaken out in the correction, the question now is simple: Is the silver story over, or could this correction be setting up the next leg higher?Daily Silver ChartMy view heading into Q2 is that the structural thesis that drove silver to triple digits remains intact, and the correction has done its job by clearing out the overleveraged longs. Yes, the Middle East conflict has weighed on investment demand, with ETF flows showing YTD liquidations of 7.6%. But with oil at triple-digit levels, the case for a green energy transition is more urgent than ever. China understands this. Its new Five-Year Plan prioritizes advanced manufacturing, renewable energy, and semiconductor self-sufficiency, which is precisely the policy environment that drives silver consumption and, effectively, subsidizes the metal's largest demand sectors.Once the conflict ends, we believe it could pave the way for significantly higher silver prices. Traders looking to get ahead of that move may want to consider these two example silver setups. To help you develop a trading plan, I reviewed 25 years of my trading strategies and created a free resource: the \"5-Step Technical Analysis Guide.\" This guide outlines all the technical analysis steps you need to create an actionable plan for entering and exiting the market. You can request your copy here: 5-Step Technical Analysis Guide Example 5000-ounce Silver Futures Options StrategyFor Example purposes only, one could purchase the December 2026 Silver futures $100.00 call option while selling a December 2026 $110.00 call against it. This calculated risk Bull Call spread costs $6,000 plus commissions and fees, with a maximum gain of $50,000, less your initial cost, if silver futures close above $110.00/oz at expiration on November 24, 2026. We believe this strategy achieves a low-risk, high-reward profile.We also see value in systematically purchasing the 100-ounce silver contract at regular intervals, layering in over time to potentially average into position ahead of the next rally. The 100-ounce Silver futures offer a pocket-sized product with full-sized potential. To learn more, register here:   Get 100-Ounce SilverPerformance DisclaimerHypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}