花旗策略师斯科特·克罗纳特在接受采访时表示，尽管中东紧张局势持续，但基于稳健的企业基本面，预计标普500指数将在2026年底前达到7700点。

　　这一预测出炉之际，伊朗冲突已进入第二个月。克罗纳特承认，随着投资者对潜在局势缓和的新闻做出反应，短期仓位布局加剧了近期市场波动。

　　他表示，企业盈利仍强于预期。目前市场一致预期已超过了年初时被认为相当激进的前景展望。

　　他指出，4月可能是一个风险加剧的时期。能源价格上涨可能开始传导至其他商品和服务领域，而即将到来的财报季中，企业高管即便在业绩稳健的情况下也可能发表谨慎评论。

　　克罗纳特还表示，考虑到近期市场回调，分析师可能需要调整目标股价，并将4月描述为“最大风险期”。展望近期的动荡之后，他预计如果地缘政治压力缓解、油价和收益率回落，股市将恢复上行轨迹。

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