金吾财讯 | 纸业股走强，晨鸣纸业(01812)涨4.72%，玖龙纸业(02689)涨3.17%，理文造纸(02314)涨1.43%。大同证券表示，玖龙、山鹰、理文等头部纸企下调原纸出厂价格，受传统淡季需求偏弱影响，行业进入阶段性调整周期，后续纸价企稳回升的概率较高。当前行业处于纸价调整、成本改善、产业升级的共振阶段，建议重点配置具备林浆纸一体化优势的头部企业，以及技术壁垒较高的特种纸细分标的，在市场分化中挖掘盈利稳健、成长空间充足的投资机会。短期重点跟踪龙头调价节奏、下游拿货意愿及浆价运行趋势，若需求回暖概率较高，可适度增配核心龙头标的；中期关注广西林浆纸一体化项目落地、行业技术突破及盈利修复节奏。
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