【券商聚焦】 国泰海通:国内经济呈结构性修复态势 外需强于内需 仍需关注国内需求恢复进度

金吾财讯
Apr 08

金吾财讯 | 国泰海通研究称,国内经济呈结构性修复态势,外需强于内需,仍需关注国内需求恢复进度。上周政策聚焦科技赋能产业、消费扩容提质两大主线,智能航运、普惠算力、物联网等行动方案密集出台,科技金融协同发力支撑实体经济创新升级;消费端同步推进国际消费季与服务消费提质,内外需协同激活市场。高频数据显示,消费受清明假期带动服务消费回暖,汽车消费仍偏弱;投资端基建资金与施工双回暖,地产销售弱修复、土地市场低迷。外贸外需季节性回升,港口船舶离港量与载重吨环比改善,出口运价走高印证外需强劲。生产端修复节奏偏缓,钢铁、石化开工分化,光伏、轮胎生产仍显疲软。物价方面,iCPI边际回升,交通通信受油价支撑走强,工业品价格分化,能化偏强、金属反弹。流动性平稳,跨月后资金利率回落,人民币小幅升值。

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