交银国际:下调顺丰房托(02191)目标价至3.12港元 维持“买入”评级

智通财经
Apr 08

智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,下调顺丰房托(02191)目标价18.75%,从3.84港元降至3.12港元,维持“买入”评级,基于续租后租金水平调整的实际影响,下调收入及分派预测。相信近期的股价大致反映续租影响,而其股息率约9%仍有一定吸引力。

顺丰房托2025年运营稳健。全年经调整收入同比增2%至4.604亿港元,经调整物业收入净额同比增6.2%至 3.837亿港元,主要得益于成本控制。其中物业营运支出同比减15%至7670万港元,其中物业管理费及维修保养费分别下降11.4%及52.7%。可供分派营收同比增2.4%至2.4亿港元,全年每基金单位分派26.33港仙,分红比例为90%。受市场调整影响,物业组合估值同比减8.3%至61.71亿港元,每基金单位资产净值降至3.88港元。

该公司2025年末出租率达96.9%,虽较上年下降1.1个百分点,但仍处于业界高点。2025年底总负债32.285亿港元,较上年减少2.2%,资产负债比率38.5%,较去年同期上升2.6个百分点。

该公司续租协议租金回归市场水平。2026年3月,顺丰房托完成与顺丰集团的租约续期,覆盖总可出租面积83.9%,租期2-5年不等。此次续租核心条款调整包括:租金及管理费下调20-45%,往后年租金增长率降至0-2%(原3-5%),同时明确续约选择权及终止条款。租金下调短期内将压制收入,该行预期2026/2027年收入将分别同比减14.3%/7.3%。但长期来看,续租成功锁定核心租户,避免大额空置风险,且租金水平回归市场水平,保障长期收入稳定性。

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