Hotel Revenue Trends Accelerating as Cyclical US Rebound Likely to Offset Mid East Impacts, Morgan Stanley Says

MT Newswires Live
Apr 10

Accelerating revenue per available room trends in the hospitality sector amid a cyclical demand rebound in the US should offset Middle East impacts, Morgan Stanley said in a Friday research note.

The Morgan Stanley analysts upgraded Ryman Hospitality Properties (RHP) to overweight from equalweight with 7% upside to its price target on robust RevPAR trends and a compelling valuation setup, according to the note.

The Wall Street firm said was reiterating its overweight rating on most c-corps, citing visibility in room growth, AI optionality, and ancillary upside. It views AI's impact on lodging real estate investment trusts primarily as a cost benefit.

Liquidity is improving in the lodging transaction environment and higher-than-expected quarterly EBITDA guidance sets the stage for beats in fiscal 2026 on easier comparisons and World Cup support, according to analysts.

Provision rates are high industry-wide compared with pre-2023 levels, but the market is showing signs of stabilization as companies balance conservative reserving with operational improvements in underwriting, analysts wrote.

Price: 100.17, Change: +1.83, Percent Change: +1.86

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