金吾财讯 | 中信建投分析称，结合3月31日国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合会发布的数据来看，3月份，中国制造业采购经理指数、非制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为50.4%、50.1%和50.5%，比上月分别+1.4pct、+0.6pct、+1pct，表明我国企业生产经营景气水平总体向好。市场需求释放较好叠加钢厂生产加快明显提振原材料采购活动，采购量指数上升18.5pct至60.3%，创近8年新高，购进价格指数为68.5%，环比大幅上升23.3个百分点，原材料和钢材价格均有上升，产成品库存消耗速度进一步加快。随着传统消费旺季深化，预计4月份钢铁行业将保持平稳向好运行态势。该机构同时提示行业投资风险：钢铁是重资产行业，又面临产能过剩等结构性问题。当前受地产需求拖累，钢材市场呈现“供给减量、需求偏弱、库存上升、价格下跌、收入减少、利润下滑”的运行态势，企业生产经营面临较大挑战。伴随着局部战争的不断爆发、国际形势的不确定性、汇率波动、贸易保护与反倾销愈演愈烈，中国钢铁企业出口市场的门槛将显著抬升。
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