Robinhood 因担忧市场操纵与内幕交易风险排除部分预测市场合约

链捕手
Apr 12

ChainCatcher 消息,Robinhood 在加速布局预测市场之际,已主动排除部分合约产品,原因在于其可能助长市场操纵与内幕交易风险。Robinhood UK 总裁 Jordan Sinclair 表示,公司高度关注市场滥用问题,并不会向用户提供所有预测市场或事件合约,而是选择性上线更适合客户的产品。

近期,多起“精准押注”事件引发监管担忧。例如,Polymarket 上曾在美国对伊朗行动前出现异常大额押注;以色列监管机构亦曾起诉两名利用机密信息参与押注的个人。此外,“提及市场”(如押注演讲中将出现的词语)因易被操纵,被 Robinhood 明确排除在产品范围之外。

目前,Robinhood 主要通过与 Kalshi 及 ForecastEx 合作提供合规预测市场服务,并优先选择受监管平台,以降低信息滥用及跨境合规风险。相比之下,未受同等监管的 Polymarket 允许用户通过加密钱包交易且身份验证较为宽松。

Robinhood 此前预计预测市场将成为重要增长引擎,公司 CEO Vlad Tenev 曾表示,该业务在 2025 年成为增长最快板块之一,未来有望推动形成万亿美元级年交易规模。

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