4月10日，东方红资产管理发布2026年第二季度权益策略展望称，地缘风险与AI正成为资产定价的新主线。高油价将加剧美国通胀压力，使“K型”经济两端同时承压，美联储短期内更可能维持高利率观望。尽管油价上行抑制全球总需求，但在其他亚洲工业经济体因能源成本上升而供给能力受损的背景下，中国制造有望凭借成本稳定性和供给韧性，实现出口份额提升。2026年中国经济增长亮点或由“实际增长”切换至“名义增长”。
东方红资产管理认为，全球宽松预期拐点显现，A股流动性环境更友好、下行风险可控。目前，国内广谱利率仍处于下行通道，A股资金面总体保持宽松，场外配置“蓄水池”依然充裕，低利率环境下含权类产品有望承接居民再配置需求。基本面方面，A股公司有望在2026年迎来盈利改善拐点。市场风格上，单纯依赖远期估值扩张的成长逻辑或将弱化，风格有望转向均衡。
（文章来源：证券时报网）
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