内房股走低 龙湖集团(00960)跌4.32% 大摩料次季行业表现或仍跑输大市

金吾财讯
Apr 09

金吾财讯 | 内房股走低,融信中国(03301)跌7.34%,中梁控股(02772)跌5.56%,龙湖集团(00960)跌4.32%,绿城中国(03900)跌4.15%,越秀地产(00123)跌3.74%,中国海外发展(00688)跌2.42%,万科企业(02202)跌1.68%。大摩发表报告指,内房发展商对物业市场前景整体仍持审慎态度,但部分内房国企预计从2026年起,毛利率及盈利将逐步复苏,主要受惠于发展物业利润率改善以及租金收入稳健增长。该行指,内房主要发展商2025年业绩表现疲弱,符合市场预期。核心盈利按年平均下跌29%,主要受收入按年下降11%,以及发展毛利率收窄1.1个百分点所拖累,导致行业ROE仅为0.6%。行业流动性风险现阶段已大致缓解,发展商普遍减债,且现金覆盖比率保持稳定,但个别公司之间仍存在明显分化。该行指1月底已预计在情绪推动的反弹后,行业将出现回落。2026年第二季,行业表现或仍跑输大市,因为楼价再度转弱将进一步影响市场情绪。

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