白银协会:白银市场将连续第六年出现供不应求

凤凰网港股
Apr 15

白银协会表示,在对银条和银币的强劲需求以及供应下降的背景下,全球白银市场预计将连续第六年保持短缺。

该行业组织在周三发布的年度展望中表示,2026年的短缺预计将扩大15%,达到4630万金衡盎司。

报告称,尽管银条和银币的估计需求增加了18%,但由于工业应用、摄影、珠宝和银器的需求下降,总消费量可能会下滑2%。该协会表示,由于矿山产量略有下降以及生产商对冲活动减少,预计今年总供应量将下降2%。回收量增长7%有助于缓解这些损失。

该行业组织在报告中表示,尽管中东战争给短期价格前景蒙上了阴影,但“我们对2026年白银价格仍持乐观态度”。

该协会预计中东冲突将得到控制,而通过货币紧缩来遏制能源驱动的通胀的预期将是暂时的。即使伊朗战争拖延下去,投资者对经济增长疲软和政府财政紧张的担忧也可能会压低经通胀调整后的债券收益率,从而提振白银和黄金等不支付利息的贵金属。(国际财闻汇)

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