瑞银:预计能源价格高位维持更长时间 油价或见每桶130美元

智通财经网
Apr 15

智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,中国股市近期因霍尔木兹海峡关闭事件而波动,过去一个月左右,中国股市与MSCI AC世界指数的相关性由历史平均0.6升至近月的0.8。该行认为,即使海峡能够重开,能源价格亦可能在高位维持更长时间。该行正接近下行情景预测,假设干扰持续至4月底,油价或见每桶130美元,标普500指数或因此下跌10%至12%。

瑞银将消费及地产板块下调至“减持”,原因是通胀上升将限制进一步减息的空间。并指出若油价持续高企,中国石油生产商将受惠。该行估算,中国石油股平均定价反映的是每桶65美元的油价,远低于该行预测的每桶90至100美元。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10