德银:对最新财报季持高度乐观态度,预估标普500指数企业盈利将增长19%

格隆汇
Apr 13

4月13日,德意志银行对今年首个财报季持高度乐观态度,预估标普500指数企业盈利将同比增长19%,远高于华尔街市场共识的16%,而后者已是近四年来最乐观的预期水准。

德银在给客户的研报中列出数项支撑获利成长的关键驱动因素,包括(1)能源产业:油价高涨带动能源类股第一季获利成长达10.3%,大幅优于上季的2.2%;(2)科技与AI概念股:英伟达美光科技等AI受惠企业,以及大型科技股整体表现,预计将维持强劲成长动能;(3)金融产业:获利成长幅度有望近乎翻倍,达约20%;(4)工业循环股:随着ISM制造业指数回升至扩张区间,工业类股获利成长预估从上季的2.8% 大幅跳升至7.9%;(5)美元走贬:德银认为美元贬值将为企业每股获利额外贡献4.1个百分点,因外国买家对美国商品与服务的购买力相对提升;(6)原物料产业:受金属价格上涨带动,材料类股获利成长可望达30%。

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