金吾财讯 | 摩根士丹利新近公告表示，企业盈利加速增长降低了伊朗战争的影响，保护了标普500指数免于进一步下跌，并表示已经察觉美国股市更广泛的回调。其中，迈克尔·威尔逊领导的团队指出，企业盈利的稳健增长和经济的持续复苏是标普500指数自1月份以来历史新高以来跌幅不足10%的原因。他们认为，从表面现象来看，股市正处于调整的“最后阶段”。该团队指出，有更好的指标来评估美国股市的下跌：标普500指数的盈利倍数已从10月份的高峰骤降了18%，罗素3000指数中超过一半的股票下跌了至少20%。该机构提示，由于美国和伊朗之间的协议在周末未能达成双边解决方案，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普下令封锁霍尔木兹海峡，标普500指数周一有望再次下跌。不过，该机构依旧乐观——预期标普500指数成分股公司第一季度盈利将增长12%。财报季于本周拉开帷幕，高盛集团今日公布的财报就显示，其股票交易员连续第二个季度业绩新高。摩根士丹利表示，继续看好循环板块，包括金融、工业和非必需消费板块，理由是这些板块盈利强劲且估值偏低。
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