ChainCatcher 消息，据研究机构 K33 报告，比特币 30 日均资金费率已连续 46 天为负，与 2022 年熊市底部的持续时长持平，历史上仅 2020 年 3 月至 5 月（63 天）和 2021 年 6 月至 8 月（49 天）出现过更长的负资金费率周期。
K33 研究主管 Vetle Lunde 指出，当前负资金费率叠加未平仓合约增加与价格上涨，空头情绪异常激进，短逼空概率上升，比特币有望突破长达 68 天的盘整区间。目前比特币较 2 月 6 日低点约 6 万美元已反弹 23%，但较 2025 年 10 月历史高点约 12.6 万美元仍下跌约 41%。
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