据彭博的一项调查显示,随着伊朗战争导致今年通胀走高,欧洲央行将在6月提高利率。
不过,根据4月9-15日的调查,随着冲突不会导致持久的价格冲击,此次上调0.25个百分点可能是唯一一次的升息。
今年通胀率预计将加速至2.8%,高于先前预测的2%。
知情人士透露,欧洲央行官员目前倾向于在4月底下次会议上按兵不动。包括德国央行行长Joachim Nagel在内的一些人认为,不能排除此时采取行动。
经济学家上次接受调查(欧洲央行3月会议前)时预测,该央行将对冲突保持沉默,不作任何回应。但投资人一直预期会有更强硬的行动,目前押注今年将两次升息。
责任编辑:王永生
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