港股异动 | 黄金股承压走低中东战争推升通胀压力美联储理事米兰发言“趋鹰”

智通财经

3 hours ago

智通财经APP获悉，黄金股承压走低，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)跌4.8%，报172.7港元；灵宝黄金(03330)跌4.52%，报25.36港元；赤峰黄金(06693)跌3.67%，报40.72港元；山东黄金(01787)跌3.07%，报32.18港元。

消息面上，市场持续关注中东局势变化，美国总统特朗普于当地时间4月16日宣布，黎巴嫩与以色列已达成十日停火协议，以色列方面同意停火但表示不会从黎巴嫩南部撤军。特朗普还称，美国与伊朗的下一次会晤可能在本周末举行。此外，纽约联邦储备银行总裁威廉姆斯表示，中东战争已经在推高通胀压力，而前景不确定性限制了美联储在未来利率政策走向上能够给出的指引。美联储理事米兰表示，鉴于通胀比预期更为顽固，他可能会再次下调降息次数预期。

中信期货分析认为，从本轮地缘冲突的市场表现看，黄金并未显著跑赢风险资产，反而在伊朗冲突升级阶段与美股一同回落，说明当前市场对黄金的定价已不再单纯围绕传统避险逻辑展开，而是更多回到通胀、利率与流动性框架。若后续冲突再度升级，能源冲击可能推升通胀预期，并通过抬升全球债券收益率、强化央行谨慎立场，对黄金形成反向约束；若冲突缓和，则风险溢价回落同样削弱黄金追涨动力。

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