大行评级丨杰富瑞:上调特斯拉目标价至350美元,惟预期首季业绩或加剧市场担忧

中金财经
Apr 20

  杰富瑞发表研报,预期特斯拉今年首季收入为212亿美元,按年增长10%;销量仅录得35.8万辆,其中已停产的Model S及Model X表现相对疲弱。该行预计核心汽车毛利率将由第四季的17.2%降至15.5%,当中包括因销量低于去年第四季而产生的2个百分点折旧及摊销(D&A)。假设营运开支收紧下,预计营运利润率将低于3%,非公认会计准则每股盈利预期为0.27美元。   该行认为,相关业绩将进一步显示特斯拉愿景与执行力之间的差距扩大,除非Robotaxi方面具说服力的进展,否则市场对其资金状况的担忧或会加剧,甚至引发最终与SpaceX合并的讨论。因特斯拉进取的资本开支计划或令亏损持续一段时间,该行下调2026至2027年的预测,但考虑到公司在面对行动迟缓的竞争对手时仍持续实践愿景,基于较高的中期增长预期,该行将目标价由300美元上调至350美元,维持“持有”评级。   

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