【券商聚焦】中信证券看好推理算力和商业航天发展机遇

金吾财讯
Apr 20

金吾财讯 | 中信证券研究指,AI算力与商业航天迎来产业加速期。算力端,应用演进深刻重构基础设施:Agent推动计算负载从GPU密集到CPU密集,数据中心CPU与GPU配比有望大幅提升;AI算力需求爆发叠加内存涨价以及产能紧张等因素,共同推动今年以来的服务器CPU缺货及涨价;大模型推理降本诉求则驱动巨头加速布局ASIC,行业走向GPU+ASIC的异构协同。航天端,以2026航天日为契机,随着多型可重复使用火箭迎来密集验证,运力供给的提升将全面加速卫星互联网组网,推动商业航天迈入高质量发展阶段。机构提示行业风险主要有(1)宏观经济下行风险:宏观经济下行压力下,行业IT支出不及预期将直接影响计算机行业需求;(2)应收账款坏账风险:游客户付款周期拉长可能导致应收账款坏账增加,并可能进一步导致资产减值损失;(3)行业竞争加剧:计算机行业需求较为确定,但供给端竞争加剧或将导致行业格局发生变化;(4)国际环境变化影响:国际贸易摩擦加剧,美国不断对中国科技施压,对于海外收入占比较高公司可能形成影响。

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