炮声暂歇、封锁依旧欧洲天然气在美伊博弈拉锯中趋于平稳

智通财经

Apr 22

智通财经APP获悉，尽管美国方面延长停火协议为部分市场带来了谨慎的乐观情绪，但美伊冲突前景仍不明朗，欧洲天然气价格也因此趋于平稳。

在经历了前一交易日的剧烈波动后，基准期货价格徘徊在每兆瓦时42欧元附近。美国总统特朗普于周二表示，在美伊双方原定的和平谈判破裂后，他将在停火协议到期前夕无限期延长对伊朗的停火期限，但同时继续维持对霍尔木兹海峡的海上封锁。

由于霍尔木兹海峡仍被实际封锁，全球约五分之一的液化天然气运输受阻，交易商正高度关注中东局势的进展。虽然该航道的天然气绝大多数原本流向亚洲，但欧洲正赶在下个冬季前补充天然气库存，未来数月可能面临替代气源的激烈竞争。

特朗普周二表示，美国将暂缓新一轮打击行动，但会继续在霍尔木兹海峡扣押与伊朗有关的船只，“直至相关谈判以某种方式结束”。与此同时，伊朗周三表示，已收到“某种信号”，表明美国愿意解除封锁，为两国之间的谈判开辟了道路。

德意志银行分析师在一份报告中指出：“特朗普延长停火的决定，令市场在隔夜交易中出现一定程度的回升。不过，今早市场回落的幅度相对有限。”

截至发稿，作为欧洲天然气基准的荷兰近月期货合约微涨0.45%，报每兆瓦时42.12欧元。该合约在此前两个交易日累计上涨逾8%。

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