Is It Too Late To Consider Owens Corning (OC) After Its Recent 24% Share Price Jump?

Simply Wall St.

Apr 21

Investors may be wondering whether Owens Corning at around US$123.95 offers value right now, or if the easier gains have already been made. The stock has moved 4.7% over the last 7 days and 24.0% over...

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The stock has moved 4.7% over the last 7 days and 24.0% over...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-oc/owens-corning/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-owens-corning-oc-after-its-recent\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Owens Corning (OC) After Its Recent 24% Share Price Jump?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Owens Corning (OC) After Its Recent 24% Share Price Jump?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-21 18:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-oc/owens-corning/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-owens-corning-oc-after-its-recent><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors may be wondering whether Owens Corning at around US$123.95 offers value right now, or if the easier gains have already been made. The stock has moved 4.7% over the last 7 days and 24.0% over...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-oc/owens-corning/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-owens-corning-oc-after-its-recent\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"IE00B3CCJ633.GBP","symbol_name":"GUINNESS SUSTAINABLE ENERGY \"C\" (GBP) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-oc/owens-corning/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-owens-corning-oc-after-its-recent","article_id":"2629062080","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3031000-choice2-main-header/1585186655644"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-oc/owens-corning/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-owens-corning-oc-after-its-recent","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2629062080","pubTimestamp":1776766229,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Investors may be wondering whether Owens Corning at around US$123.95 offers value right now, or if the easier gains have already been made.\nThe stock has moved 4.7% over the last 7 days and 24.0% over the last 30 days, while the 1-year return is a 5.5% decline and the 3-year and 5-year returns are 29.2% and 40.0% respectively.\nThese mixed returns put recent price action in the spotlight and are prompting closer attention from investors who are weighing shorter-term momentum against a softer...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"IE00B3CCJ633.GBP":"GUINNESS SUSTAINABLE ENERGY \"C\" (GBP) ACC","BK4086":"建筑产品","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU2041044095.USD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 USD","LU2360108059.USD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2092937221.SGD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 SGD-H","IE00B2PGVK34.USD":"GUINNESS SUSTAINABLE ENERGY \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","LU2298321311.HKD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","LU2023250843.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AT Acc H2-SGD","OC":"欧文斯科宁","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","IE00BGHQF417.EUR":"GUINNESS SUSTAINABLE ENERGY \"C\" (EUR) ACC","LU2048586759.USD":"ALLIANZ SMART ENERGY \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"欧文斯科宁(OC)最近股价上涨24%后，现在考虑该公司是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"OC":1.5},"content_text":"Investors may be wondering whether Owens Corning at around US$123.95 offers value right now, or if the easier gains have already been made. The stock has moved 4.7% over the last 7 days and 24.0% over the last 30 days, while the 1-year return is a 5.5% decline and the 3-year and 5-year returns are 29.2% and 40.0% respectively. These mixed returns put recent price action in the spotlight and are prompting closer attention from investors who are weighing shorter-term momentum against a softer 1-year result. Ongoing coverage of Owens Corning keeps updating the picture and can help frame whether the current share price aligns with the underlying business. Owens Corning currently has a valuation score of 3 out of 6. The rest of this article will look at what different valuation approaches indicate about that number, and will finish with a way to think about value that goes beyond any single metric.  Find out why Owens Corning's -5.5% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Owens Corning Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes projected future cash flows and then discounts them back to today to estimate what the entire stream might be worth in present dollar terms. For Owens Corning, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow sits at about $1,073.7 million. Analyst estimates and subsequent extrapolations suggest Free Cash Flow of $784.7 million in 2026 and $875.1 million in 2027, with further projections running out to 2035. These later years, such as an estimated $800.8 million in 2035, are extrapolated rather than directly forecast by analysts. When all these projected cash flows are discounted back and added together, the DCF model indicates an intrinsic value of about $121.54 per share. Compared with a current share price around $123.95, this implies the stock is roughly 2.0% overvalued, which is a very small gap and within a reasonable margin of error for any model. Result: ABOUT RIGHT Owens Corning is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act. OC Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Owens Corning. Approach 2: Owens Corning Price vs Sales For companies that are generating meaningful revenue, the P/S ratio is a straightforward way to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of sales, especially when earnings can be affected by accounting items or one off factors. What counts as a “normal” P/S ratio usually reflects what investors expect for future growth and how much risk they see in the business. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher multiple, while slower expected growth or higher risk often comes with a lower one. Owens Corning currently trades on a P/S of 0.99x. That sits below the Building industry average P/S of 2.23x and also below the peer average of 3.69x, which suggests the market is attaching a lower value to each dollar of Owens Corning’s revenue relative to those benchmarks. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Owens Corning is 1.40x. This is a proprietary estimate of what a reasonable P/S could be given the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk factors. Because it folds these company specific drivers into a single number, the Fair Ratio can be more useful than a simple comparison with peers or the industry average, which do not adjust for differences in quality, growth or risk. Comparing the Fair Ratio of 1.40x with the current P/S of 0.99x suggests the shares trade below that Fair Ratio benchmark. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:OC P/S Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Owens Corning Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced as your way of attaching a clear story about Owens Corning to the numbers you see, tying your view on its future revenue, earnings and margins to a specific forecast and a Fair Value that can be compared directly with today’s share price. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are set up so you can pick or adjust a storyline. As new information such as earnings, guidance or buyback updates comes through, the forecast and Fair Value refresh automatically. This helps you see in one place whether your thesis still fits the latest data. With Owens Corning, one investor might lean toward a more optimistic Narrative that aligns with a Fair Value closer to the higher analyst target of about US$166.00. Another might prefer a more cautious Narrative that sits nearer the lower target around US$110.00. Comparing each Fair Value to the current price can help both investors decide whether they see the stock as offering enough potential upside or downside relative to their own assumptions. For Owens Corning however we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Owens Corning Narratives: 🐂 Owens Corning Bull Case Fair value: US$141.81 Implied pricing gap vs last close: about 12.6% undervalued Assumed revenue growth: 1.3%  Focus on capacity, technology and higher margin products aimed at energy efficient and resilient construction, with a larger tilt toward North American repair and remodel markets. Analysts build in higher profit margins over time, earnings of about US$1.6b by around 2029 and a future P/E of 7.8x, using a discount rate of 10.2% to arrive at a fair value near US$141.81. Risks include reduced international exposure after divestitures, soft or volatile residential demand, oversupplied roofing and insulation markets and pressure on pricing and margins if competition intensifies or costs stay high.  🐻 Owens Corning Bear Case Fair value: US$110.00 Implied pricing gap vs last close: about 12.6% overvalued Assumed revenue growth: 6.7% decline per year  Assumes weaker volumes as housing and remodel activity recover slowly, cost inflation and production curtailments limit pricing power and EBITDA margins stay under pressure. Builds in revenue contracting by 6.7% a year, earnings of about US$1.8b by 2028 and a future P/E of 6.0x, using a 9.9% to 9.92% discount rate to anchor a fair value around US$110.00 that sits at the low end of analyst targets. Allows for upside if building product demand in North America and Europe proves stronger, new plants and the Doors business deliver better productivity and cost savings and capital allocation supports higher returns and cash generation.  Putting these side by side gives you a clear range of fair values, from about US$110 on the cautious side to about US$142 on the more optimistic view, against a last close of US$123.95. The next step is deciding which set of assumptions around revenue, margins and risk feels closer to how you see Owens Corning and then checking whether today’s share price fits that story. To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Owens Corning on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. Do you think there's more to the story for Owens Corning? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:OC 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}