中原地产:CVI最新报87.94点为三年次高 料香港楼价升势将会持续

智通财经
Apr 23

智通财经APP获悉,中原地产研究部高级联席董事杨明仪指出,本周CVI最新报87.94点,较上周92.13点下跌4.19点。指数于上周大幅上升10.49点后回落,但依然为三年来次高。

楼市畅旺,多个大型新盘推售,销情理想,二手交投保持活跃。指数连续11周高企80点以上,并已连续29周企稳60点以上看好区,反映银行对楼市信心未减,估价态度维持乐观,预示楼价升势将会持续。有本地大型银行提高按揭现金回赠以争取楼按业务,按揭取态积极,相信CVI于第二季继续企稳80点水平。

2025年1月美国总统特朗普正式上场,贸易战升温,美联储放缓减息步伐等因素影响,全球经济及政治环境面临新挑战。1月底,CVI结束之前连续13周于50点好淡分界线上下反复徘徊的局面,2月间单周急跌至40点左右好淡分界区间下限水平,同期楼价未能进一步向上突破,CCL持续在136点到137点反复争持。4月初贸易战升级,CVI再度回落至40点以下看淡区,5周在40点之下反复,楼价亦持续窄幅回落。5月初拆息急跌,并持续低企,CVI曾连升8周,7月底至9月中更连续8周企稳60点以上,同期楼价靠稳微升。9月重启减息后,CVI连升7周,升穿并企稳80点水平,楼价稳步向升。

最新CCL报153.67点,较2025年5月H按息再度低于封顶息当周的135.16点低位升13.69%,财案放宽印花税后升13.92%,较减息周期前的135.86点低位升13.11%, 2026年暂累升6.63%。

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