港股异动 | 中通快递(02057)涨超4% 反内卷下行业业绩弹性充分 小摩此前上调公司目标价

智通财经
Apr 21

智通财经APP获悉,中通快递(02057)涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4%,报205.2港元,成交额1.67亿港元。

消息面上,摩根大通近期研报指出,将中通快递目标价由197港元上调至225港元,评级“增持”,并引入2028年预测,预期预测期内每股盈利年复合增长率达13%。该行表示,反内卷政策正减少价格竞争,允许中通提升效率、投资技术及提高行业进入门槛。中通2026年业务量增长指引为10%至13%,高于行业的8%预测,此受惠于市占率提升、定价环境更理性及利润率扩张。

国泰海通证券表示,2026年行业“反内卷”的力度与持续性都有望超预期,有效缓和了行业竞争压力,促使行业价格水平逐渐回升,后续盈利能力也有望持续恢复。在电商经营高成本、暖冬等因素造成的行业增速下行的态势下,继续看好持续优化业务结构,构建差异化竞争壁垒以及海外业务增长迅速的快递龙头。

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