招商证券国际:谷歌风险回报仍具吸引力,维持目标价为390美元

格隆汇
Apr 27

4月27日,招商证券国际发表研报指,在近两日举行的Google Cloud Next 2026大会中,展示谷歌全面进军代理式AI时代的布局,涵盖更先进的芯片、数据中心、面向企业的代理式AI平台+更强大的网络安全系统(已完成Wiz收购并整合进GCP),以及消费端AI升级。该行仍认为,科技巨头拥有强大的护城河与用户信任度,最有能力从AI/代理式AI功能中获益并提供这些功能。

该行认为,谷歌风险回报仍具吸引力,得益于广告与云业务稳健增长,以及Waymo、TPU等催化剂。预计集团26年一季度集团净收入按年增18%,云业务按年增50%,集团OPM约40%,受云业务营业利润率扩张至约30%(追赶AmazonAWS38%水平)推动,集团营业利润预计按年增19%。该行预测集团2025至2027财年收入/营业利润复合年均增长率分别为15%、8%,目标价维持390美元,分别对应今明两年28倍、25倍非GAAP市盈率,评级“增持”。

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