巴克莱分析师在一份报告中表示，在通胀高企的情况下，预计美联储将在本周的会议上维持联邦基金目标利率区间不变，但今年仍有可能降息。他们表示：“在不确定性加剧的情况下，美联储的立场是保持观望，因为需求具有韧性且通胀仍然高企，这都支持其保持耐心，同时决策者们也暗示近期进一步降息的信心有所减弱。“他们表示，如果通胀如预期般降温，他们仍然预计美联储到9月份将获得足够信心开始放松政策。他们说：“我们仍然预计今年会降息。“根据伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）的数据，货币市场反映出美联储在2026年将降息10个基点的预期。

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