【券商聚焦】中信建投:建筑板块建议关注宏观经济、产业驱动、企业成长三大周期机遇

金吾财讯
May 08

金吾财讯 | 中信建投证券研究认为,2026年以来宏观经济和资本市场均呈现积极变化,建筑板块投资机会应从三类周期中去挖掘,这三大周期包括宏观经济周期、产业驱动周期、企业成长周期。其中宏观周期上一季度经济起步有力,PPI进入上行周期,本轮PPI上行驱动因素从地产转为制造业转型升级和资源品涨价,化学工程受益油价中枢上移与氢能政策,钢结构以制造业和出口为核心驱动。其次,AI产业景气周期带动电力基建与洁净室需求上行,核电与算电协同建设企业受益。第三,部分建筑企业抓住转型、出海机会完成从传统主业到第二利润增长曲线的跨越,呈现高成长性。风险提示:施工进度受资金到位情况、自然条件等影响较大,有可能出现延误进而影响收入确认;海外工程建设进度还受当地政治、安全环境影响。房地产市场持续低迷可能对建筑企业造成多方面不利影响。新能源业务拓展可能不及预期。

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