大摩:长和维持“增持”评级 目标价上升至78港元

新浪港股
May 07
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  摩根士丹利发布研报称,长和(00001)出售英国电讯业务49%权益是资产回收及变现策略的一部分,有助推动资产净值及收窄折让。该行维持“增持”评级,目标价由61港元上调至78港元,预期未来将有更多同类出售交易。

  长和与Vodafone于2025年5月合并电讯业务,其后再以43亿英镑(约450亿港元,相当于7.7倍2026年预测EV/EBITDA)出售合资企业的49%权益。该行表示,长和的非上市资产(港口、电讯及零售)目前被市场赋予零价值,任何出售行动均对股价具增值作用。出售完成后,长和的净债务将由1,130亿港元降至680亿港元。

  该行采用分类加总估值法,将资产净值折让由40%收窄至30%(较十年平均值高1个标准差),并将零售业务的目标市盈率由12倍上调至15倍,以反映欧洲前景改善。新目标价78港元对应2026年预测市盈率约10.3倍。该行认为,长和2026年预测市盈率仅11倍、市账率0.43倍、自由现金流收益率达8%,估值吸引,而强劲的资产负债表可能意味着回购或特别股息。

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