据 CatcherPredict 频道监测，预测市场 Predict.fun 上新“Polymarket 将在 2026 年迁移至哪个区块链？”预测事件，总成交量已达 170.1 万美元。
其中，“新的 Polymarket 链”迁移概率暂报 67%；“2026 年不迁移”概率暂报 26%；Arbitrum 概率暂报 2%；Avalanche、Base、MegaETH、Monad、Solana 、BNB Chain等链概率暂报 1%。
该事件结算来源为 Polymarket 官方（新闻稿、Shayne Coplan 或官方 X 账号）发布迁移上线公告、新链上发生非测试交易、且底层 L1 不为 Polygon。若未在 2026 年 12 月 31 日 23:59（ET）前完成迁移，则决议为“2026 年不迁移”。
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