港股异动 | 煤炭股全线下跌 机构指若本次美伊冲突缓解 则煤价上涨空间相对有限

智通财经
May 06

智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股全线下跌,截至发稿,力量发展(01277)跌8.55%,报2.13港元;中煤能源(01898)跌5.45%,报13.53港元;兖矿能源(01171)跌2.79%,报15.66港元;中国神华(01088)跌2.09%,报46.84港元。

消息面上,美伊停火暂时维持。巴基斯坦外长表示,相信调解结束美伊冲突能取得“重大进展”。方正证券指出,煤炭板块受益当前地缘冲突带来的能源危机投资主题。若本次美伊冲突缓解、对海峡封锁时间较短,煤价上涨空间相对有限;若封锁时间较长、甚至转为常态化,煤炭价格中枢将整体上移,其作为能源压舱石的地位有望进一步巩固。

中信证券则表示,2025年,受煤价继续下行的影响,板块盈利继续下滑,公司自由现金流也有显著收缩,但2026年一季度部分公司已出现环比业绩改善。看好二季度煤价表现,即便中东冲突缓和,能源供应恢复也需要时间,叠加气候因素影响,国内外煤价在二季度中后期或形成共振,煤、化价格上涨的效应在二季度也有望充分体现。

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