【券商聚焦】华源证券:生猪板块或已逐步进入左侧布局区间

金吾财讯
May 05

金吾财讯 | 华源证券最新研报指出,我国生猪行业周期底部特征进一步强化,左侧布局窗口或正在打开。3月猪价继续探底,行业利润进入深度亏损区间;与此同时,仔猪价格提前回落、母猪价格偏弱,说明养殖端对后续价格与盈利的预期正在进一步下修。当前行业仍处于高位产能向下调整的过渡阶段,或将加速去化。历史经验表明,行业深度亏损往往是周期反转的重要前兆指标,当前板块或已逐步进入典型的左侧布局区间。产业高质量发展势在必行,行业经营方差显著,成本领先、联农带农的企业或将享受超额利润与估值溢价。推荐“平台+生态”模式代表、技术驱动、服务型的生态平台公司德康农牧,建议关注优质生猪养殖龙头牧原股份温氏股份等,以及天康生物立华股份中粮家佳康等。

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