港股异动 | 铜业股早盘走强 国际铜价升至历史高位水平 地缘冲突背景下仍具结构韧性

智通财经
May 12

智通财经APP获悉,铜业股早盘走强,截至发稿,江西铜业股份(00358)涨5.28%,报40.66港元;中国有色矿业(01258)涨5.27%,报15.18港元;金浔资源(03636)涨4.97%,报24.1港元;洛阳钼业(03993)涨4%,报20.54港元;五矿资源(01208)涨2.91%,报10.25港元。

消息面上,截至5月11日,伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铜盘中涨约0.6%报每吨13646美元,为1月29日以来最高盘中水平。有市场分析认为,尽管美伊谈判受挫,但交易员对此反应平淡。从铜到锌等工业金属,在中东冲突的背景下依然展现出韧性,部分原因在于市场已经出现需求超过供应的迹象。

花旗最新研报告指出,即便在霍尔木兹海峡持续封锁的压力下,铜的实物市场仍展现出显著的结构性韧性,并将近期目标价维持在每吨13000美元;一旦海峡重新开放、市场情绪改善,铜价有望在年底前均值升至每吨15000美元。报告认为,能源转型与AI相关需求、军事需求增长以及供应端约束,共同构成铜价抵御周期性冲击的三重缓冲,使铜在当前复杂宏观环境下的韧性远超历史可比时期。

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