摩根资产管理周二称，预计布伦特原油价将在第三和第四季回落至更正常的水平，全球经济应能挺过能源冲击并实现稳健增长，并为其在未来12-18个月的投资期内继续保持“追逐风险”的立场（包括超配股票）奠定了基础。

　　该行首席投资组合经理盛楠在一份评论指出，全球经济各地区对能源价格上涨的脆弱性各不相同，其中美国经济将从高于趋势的增长率转变为接近或略高于趋势的增长率，高油价对核心通胀的传导有限；消费者和企业都将把能源价格飙升视为暂时现象，这应有助于避免更广泛的经济放缓。投资策略方面，她指出，维持温和的“追逐风险”（risk-on）立场，包括超配股票，并重申对科技和通信服务板块的偏好。在固定收益方面，随着收益率曲线变陡，倾向于较短的久期；信用债配置为中性，反映了回报的不对称分布。

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责任编辑：王永生

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