大摩:华润置地目标价上调至42.6港元 维持“增持”评级

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May 11
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  摩根士丹利发布研报称,华润置地(01109)受到市场对其开发业务复苏信心不断上升的支持,正进入第二阶段的价值重估,将目标价由39.3港元上调至42.6港元,维持首选股及“增持”评级。

  大摩认为,华润置地的开发业务毛利率已经见底,而在零售市占率上升和优质商场项目的支持下,即使出售了投资物业,其强劲的租赁业务仍能在2028年或之前对经常性盈利的贡献提高到约60%,让估值提升至10–12倍市盈率。

  同时,该行上调公司2026-2028年核心盈利约1-3%,现分别预计达234.55亿、249.3亿及271.57亿元人民币,以反映更好的销售、较高的开发业务毛利率,以及资产出售对租赁收入的影响。

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