【券商聚焦】中信建投:北美AI用电激增,燃机、内燃机、SOFC、航改机供应链迎黄金发展期

金吾财讯
May 12

金吾财讯 | 中信建投证券研究指,北美AI算力需求激增正驱动数据中心开启“自备电厂”时代,上调了北美AI电力需求预测,2026-2028年较前一版本上调幅度分别为4%、35%、42%,三年AI电力需求复合增长率高达73%,电网并网缓慢迫使数据中心自建电源,其中燃气轮机因成本最低、效率最高成为首选基荷电源,但其交付周期长达1-3年,已排至2028年后,形成核心供给瓶颈,其余选择方式包括内燃机、SOFC、航改机、船改机。预计2026至2028年,全球燃气轮机供需缺口分别为16、16和19GW。若考虑其他发电方式需求,则全球发电总需求同期将达30、42和59GW。这一巨大且持续的缺口,推动燃气轮机、内燃机、固体氧化物燃料电池及航改机等产业链带来了高景气周期。

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