【券商聚焦】中原证券:料锂电池盈利持续改善 维持行业“强于大市”评级

金吾财讯
May 20

金吾财讯 | 中原证券研究指,截至2026年5月18日,锂电池和创业板估值分别为30.62倍和49.65倍,结合行业发展前景和估值水平,维持行业“强于大市”评级。展望2026年,我国动力电池增速将高于新能源汽车销售增速;储能锂电池占比将显著提升,需求增长主要在于能源安全、政策及细分领域需求增长;锂电产业链价格总体较2025年显著提升。该机构预计锂电池盈利将持续改善,板块业绩增速较2025年将提升,但细分领域、细分领域标的业绩将持续分化,建议重点关注投资主线包括:一是重点关注储能产业链,主要受益于储能电池出货增长,其中LFP细分领域关注四代和五代营收占比高的标的。二是关注海外建厂或海外收入占比较高的产业链标的。三是关注产业链价格上涨的细分领域,以及具备产业链一体化或议价能力强的细分标的。四是关注钠离子电池和固态相关进展,特别是行业标志性事件带来的主题投资机会。结合上述四条投资主线,优选研发投入在公司营收中占比长期较高的标的,一般大于4%,同时锂电池产业相关业务在公司营收中占比在50%以上。

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