港股异动 | 航空股继续走低 美伊和谈不畅油价持续高企 市场关注航司成本传导情况

智通财经
May 20

智通财经APP获悉,航空股继续走低,截至发稿,中国国航(00753)跌3.01%,报4.51港元;东方航空(00670)跌2.53%,报3.47港元;南方航空(01055)跌2.37%,报3.71港元;国泰航空(00293)跌1.33%,报11.91港元。

消息面上,美伊和谈不畅,国际油价持续高企,截至发稿,布伦特原油仍徘徊于110美元上方。此前,美国总统特朗普发出新的开战威胁,称美国可能需要再次对伊朗采取军事行动,并透露自己一度距离批准军事打击仅剩一小时,但最终决定暂缓执行。美国副总统万斯则表示,美伊谈判进展很大,美方也准备了重启军事行动的“B方案”。

国泰海通证券认为,五一假期后,市场进入传统淡季,高油价导致无法低价刺激淡季客流,航司积极减班涨价。该行估算上周国内客流或同比下降近一成,接近五一节中低谷;国内客座率仍保持同比上升,国内裸票价同比增长约7%,估算国内含油票价同比上升近两成;淡季需求(量价)仍同比明显增长。该行预计供需与反内卷将助力油价传导好于市场担忧,且中欧航线票价大涨为国航等提供超越行业油价对冲能力。

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