金吾财讯 | 中信证券研究指，2025年，纺织服装行业受贸易政策及汇率波动、渠道结构及折扣压力影响，整体利润端有所承压。1Q26受益春节旺季拉动，品牌服饰板块率先实现业绩回暖，但纺织制造公司中，代工行业受汇率、原材料涨价影响，业绩仍存在一定压力。展望未来，该机构推荐以下投资主线：①上游棉纺、毛纺、化纤等产品涨价，有望带动库存利润弹性释放；②OEM板块在行业下行期往往伴随龙头进一步提升份额，同时伴随当前股价和预期反映逆风因素，很多代工厂逐渐进入价值区间，板块有望在2H26~1H27进入配置窗口；③品牌服饰板块中，参考海外龙头品牌公司走出2008年金融危机的经验，通过低谷期修炼内功，本土品牌有望抓住零售复苏带来的经营改善机遇；④纺织服装行业高分红、高股息标的众多，主因板块龙头公司持续创造稳定现金流的能力以及健康的资产状况支撑，其中家纺、头部品牌及经销商以及优质制造公司具备稳健且较高的股息率水平，建议积极配置。此外，推荐纺服板块中主业稳健、积极拓展新业务布局的细分赛道公司。
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